“The failure of economists to forecast recessions is virtually unblemished,” notes Prakash Loungani, assistant director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This includes the economists at the IM

We are in a real-life game of Risk. In 2019, Fiona Hill, an official at the US National Security Council during Donald Trump’s first term, said the Russians had informally proposed a plan whereby they

In 1972, Yale Hirsch, author of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, devised the January Barometer, which states that as the S&P index goes in January, so goes the year. By 2005, the barometer had claimed a 90

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