The risk report

We are in a real-life game of Risk. In 2019, Fiona Hill, an official at the US National Security Council during Donald Trump’s first term, said the Russians had informally proposed a plan whereby they

The Russian threat Controversy of the week “The ...

Keep calm and carry on is Ukraine’s mantra this winter. The nation has been at war for nearly four years and its list of problems is growing almost as rapidly as its exhaustion, but people are determi

“The failure of economists to forecast recessions is virtually unblemished,” notes Prakash Loungani, assistant director at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). This includes the economists at the IM

robertskidelsky.substack.com Britain’s strategic defence review, published in June 2024, sought to “implant a war-ready mindset across society”, says Robert Skidelsky. It insisted that the UK must pre

The world changed on 7 October 2023 when Hamas made incursions into Israeli territory from the Gaza Strip. In a series of coordinated attacks, Hamas murdered more than 1,200 people and took a further