Predictions the motorcar will cease to exist in 100 years? Absolute rubbish, says TGTV’s Sam Philip
In 1924, exactly 100 years ago, a newspaper called the Folsom Telegraph made a bold prediction: that horses would cease to exist within a century. By 2024, it forecast, the world would be horse-free.
The cause of this Great Horse Extinction? The humble motor car. “If horses would decrease in the same ratio as in the last 10 or 20 years,” prophesised the paper, “it might be easy to tell when the last horse would give up his stall to an automobile.”
It was far from alone in foreseeing a gloomy future for the horse. The Twenties was the true dawn of the automobile age, the car emerging as a machine to transform the lives of millions, not just the monied few.
As enlightened citizens of 2024 – and with 2023 thankfully not ending in the Folsom Telegraph’s predicted horse genocide – it’s easy to mock our forebears’ naivety. In your face, the Folsom Telegraph! We’ve still got horses! Doing the Grand National, acting in prestige period dramas, they’re everywhere! We’ve not killed them off!
Only, we kinda have, haven’t we? Exterminated horses, I mean. Sadly there’s no definitive account of UK horse numbers in 1924, but thanks to the horse census of 1917 (really), we know there were 2.7 million horses in Great Britain that year. Today? Around 850,000 horses in the UK. Which is quite a way from equine extinction, but still a 70 per cent decline in a century. Over the same period, Britain’s car population has increased by some 16,500 per cent. It’s been a poor century to be in the horse game.
Not least because, of those remaining horses, how many are doing anything useful? Back in the Twenties, horses were powering the nation, or at least the muddier corner of it: pulling wagons, ferrying goods, producing job lots of pungent fertiliser. Nowadays in Britain, horses can mostly be filed under ‘expens
